Invalida como?
Independentemente dessa discussão, vou por essa figura do relatório original pra quem não viu o original.
O relatório original prevê diversos cenários. Desde o "Do nothing" até medidas cada vez mais drásticas. Nesse último caso, a previsão mais pessimista era de 48 mil mortes durante 2 anos, considerando diferentes taxas de transmissão. Nesse caso, haveria uma redução de 50 mil para 20 mil mortes,
o que é uma coisa boa.
Visualizar anexo 111143
E mais do que ler apenas uma fonte enviesada, por que não ler a fonte original, o proprio Imperial College.
Imperial’s Neil Ferguson, Director of J-IDEA, has told MPs that the current UK lockdown could keep the coronavirus outbreak at manageable levels.
www.imperial.ac.uk
Speaking via video link, Professor Ferguson explained that while there was some uncertainty, if current measures work as expected, then intensive care demand would ‘peak in approximately two to three weeks and then decline thereafter’.
He told the committee current predictions were that the NHS would be able to cope if strict measures continued to be followed.
Professor Ferguson, who is also Director of MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, added: “There will be some areas that are extremely stressed but we are reasonably confident – which is all we can be at the current time – that at the national level we will be within capacity.”
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Detalhe para este trecho aqui:
He told the committee current predictions were that the NHS would be able to cope if strict measures continued to be followed
if strict measures continued to be followed